Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 7.861156e-01 0.996200 1.230906 1.509747 1.829194 2.181060 2.595232
2025-08-03 4.687077e-01 0.724077 1.045784 1.467907 1.994475 2.617680 3.398769
2025-08-10 2.927682e-01 0.557987 0.934508 1.474966 2.198865 3.105222 4.295426
2025-08-17 1.697633e-01 0.414032 0.809168 1.429272 2.316361 3.483169 5.076534
2025-08-24 1.128001e-01 0.348018 0.775015 1.495202 2.578268 4.054744 6.127098
2025-08-31 6.732774e-02 0.277147 0.710945 1.499380 2.744702 4.500772 7.028589
2025-09-07 4.592950e-02 0.245569 0.705372 1.590406 3.039389 5.132218 8.197969
2025-09-14 2.903401e-02 0.211748 0.684698 1.649264 3.284313 5.699903 9.296325
2025-09-21 1.642946e-02 0.176925 0.650377 1.675876 3.475623 6.193748 10.303940
2025-09-28 7.260780e-03 0.138160 0.592661 1.647654 3.571282 6.545936 11.118285
2025-10-05 3.325300e-03 0.116156 0.568069 1.677575 3.761621 7.042662 12.148069
2025-10-12 1.143372e-03 0.095330 0.537893 1.689900 3.919405 7.491984 13.117556
2025-10-19 1.274807e-04 0.070799 0.485051 1.647482 3.981489 7.801879 13.903189
2025-10-26 7.084367e-09 0.051588 0.437518 1.607414 4.042817 8.111161 14.695562
2025-11-02 NaN 0.040476 0.413371 1.617157 4.194902 8.568637 15.718857
2025-11-09 NaN 0.027754 0.369687 1.569573 4.232997 8.840666 16.467117
2025-11-16 NaN 0.024365 0.371765 1.640436 4.503702 9.500947 17.818362
2025-11-23 NaN 0.018253 0.350808 1.645184 4.642866 9.945901 18.847306
2025-11-30 NaN 0.017040 0.362344 1.742305 4.971762 10.715793 20.389919
2025-12-07 NaN 0.014598 0.362046 1.805030 5.232930 11.376968 21.774164
2025-12-14 NaN 0.011401 0.350761 1.833383 5.424036 11.923124 22.987642
2025-12-21 NaN 0.007394 0.322145 1.803380 5.490608 12.256889 23.873389
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005613 0.313731 1.835221 5.688709 12.820675 25.128431